• Long-Term Oil Price Forecasts: A New Perspective on Oil and the Macroeconomy 

    Miller, J. Isaac; Ni, Shawn, 1962- (Department of Economics, 2010-10)
    We examine how future real GDP growth relates to changes in the forecasted longterm average of discounted real oil prices and to changes in unanticipated fluctuations of real oil prices around the forecasts. Forecasts are ...
  • Macroeconomic trade-offs in small open economies 

    Chu, Shiou-Yen, 1979- (University of Missouri--Columbia, 2009)
    This paper addresses the issue of output gap, inflation and exchange rate trade-offs in small open economies. The weights imposed on output gap, inflation rate and exchange rate in the policy objective function are estimated ...