An alternative futures analysis of Flathead County, Montana: evaluating tradeoffs among economic growth, land use policy and land use change

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An alternative futures analysis of Flathead County, Montana: evaluating tradeoffs among economic growth, land use policy and land use change

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10355/4765

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dc.contributor.advisor Prato, Tony en
dc.contributor.author Clark, Anthony S. en_US
dc.coverage.spatial Montana en
dc.coverage.spatial Flathead County en
dc.date.accessioned 2010-01-12T18:42:01Z
dc.date.available 2010-01-12T18:42:01Z
dc.date.issued 2007 en_US
dc.date.submitted 2007 Fall en
dc.identifier.other ClarkA-120607-D9171 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10355/4765
dc.description The entire dissertation/thesis text is included in the research.pdf file; the official abstract appears in the short.pdf file (which also appears in the research.pdf); a non-technical general description, or public abstract, appears in the public.pdf file. en_US
dc.description Title from title screen of research.pdf file (viewed on January 31, 2008) en_US
dc.description Includes bibliographical references. en_US
dc.description Vita. en_US
dc.description Thesis (Ph. D.) University of Missouri-Columbia 2007. en_US
dc.description Dissertations, Academic -- University of Missouri--Columbia -- Agricultural economics. en_US
dc.description.abstract Nine alternative futures were developed for Flathead County, MT for two study periods. The alternative futures involve different combinations of assumptions regarding future economic growth and land use polices. The alternative futures were developed using the RECID (Residential and Commercial-Institutional-Industrial Development) model, which has two components: the economic module and the land use change module. The economic module translates output growth in 11 different economic sectors into job growth, which is then used to project future acreage requirements for residential and commercial-institutional-industrial (CI&I) development. In the land use change module, each parcel available for development is assigned a development attractiveness score (DAS), which is based on the parcel's distance from various amenities and disamenities. The DASs are adjusted using transition probabilities, which take into account historical changes in land use cover. Parcels are converted to residential and CI&I uses based on the adjusted DASs. The RECID model is employed in conjunction with a Geographic Information System (GIS) to spatially simulate the nine alternative futures. The study has numerous potential applications. In particular, the results may be used to examine water quality, wildlife habitat, housing affordability, and the cost of public services in the county. en_US
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.publisher University of Missouri--Columbia en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Land use -- Planning en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Economic development en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Housing en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Water quality en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Habitat (Ecology) en_US
dc.title An alternative futures analysis of Flathead County, Montana: evaluating tradeoffs among economic growth, land use policy and land use change en_US
dc.type Thesis en_US
thesis.degree.discipline Agricultural economics en_US
thesis.degree.grantor University of Missouri--Columbia en_US
thesis.degree.name Ph. D. en_US
thesis.degree.level Doctoral en_US
dc.identifier.merlin .b61979296 en_US
dc.identifier.oclc 191730764 en_US
dc.relation.ispartofcommunity University of Missouri-Columbia. Graduate School. Theses and Dissertations. Dissertations. 2007 Dissertations
dc.relation.ispartofcollection 2007 Freely available dissertations (MU)


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