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dc.contributor.advisorLupo, Anthony R., 1966-eng
dc.contributor.authorReynolds, Devondria D.eng
dc.date.issued2017eng
dc.date.submitted2017 Springeng
dc.description.abstractSome weather extremes can be the result of atmospheric blocking. Like atmospheric patterns that tend to repeat themselves, atmospheric blocking leads to the stagnation of weather patterns. This repetition can last for several days to weeks. These large-scale quasi-stationary mid-latitude flow regimes can result in significant temperature and precipitation anomalies in the regions that the blocking event impacts. Being able to predict periods of anomalous weather conditions due to atmospheric blocking is a major problem for medium-range forecasting. Analyzing the NCEP Ensemble 500-mb pressure heights (240 hrs.) ten-day forecasts and using the University of Missouri blocking archive to identify blocking event, the duration of blocks, intensity prediction in comparison to observed blocks. Comparing these differences over a oneyear period across the Northern Hemisphere has shown the possibility for improved predictability of these blocks and their intensity. Having a better understanding of knowing how long each block will last and their associated anomalies can help society prepare for the damage they can cause. Knowing how to correctly identify blocks is important in improving forecast issues. Lastly, it is demonstrated that the Integrated Regional Enstrophy (IRE) for these events correlates with a block intensity index (BI).eng
dc.description.bibrefIncludes bibliographical references (pages 36-38).eng
dc.description.statementofresponsibilityField of study: Natural resources.|Dr. Anthony Lupo, Thesis Advisor.eng
dc.format.extent1 online resource (vii, 38 pages) : color illustrationseng
dc.identifier.merlinb12920030xeng
dc.identifier.oclc1099467202eng
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10355/62074
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.32469/10355/62074eng
dc.languageEnglisheng
dc.publisherUniversity of Missouri--Columbiaeng
dc.rightsOpenAccess.eng
dc.rights.licenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 License.eng
dc.sourceSubmited to University of Missouri--Columbia Graduate School.eng
dc.subject.FASTAtmosphericseng
dc.subject.FASTWeather forecastingeng
dc.subject.FASTNorthern Hemisphereeng
dc.titleThe predictability of Northern Hemispheric blocking using an ensemble mean forecast systemeng
dc.typeThesiseng
thesis.degree.disciplineNatural resources (MU)eng
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Missouri--Columbiaeng
thesis.degree.levelMasterseng
thesis.degree.nameM.S.eng


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