Authoritarian successor parties and political protest in Asia

Abstract

How does an authoritarian successor party (ASP) interact with civil society in East and Southeast Asia? Does an ASP's control over the executive and legislature increase or decrease protest movements? Do ASPs effectively mobilize protesters? Why do ASP supporters organize protests? Among third wave democracies from 1974 to 2010, 75 percent of countries produced authoritarian successor parties and 54 percent of them had ASPs returned to power. In Asia, in particular, many ASPs still remain successful in elections. By employing various research methods ranging from frequentist and Bayesian to qualitative analysis of interviews, this study examines the relationship between ASPs and civil society organizations (CSOs) in Asia and provides an answer to each question.