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The Impact of Welfare Reform on Leaver Characteristics, Employment and Recidivism
(Department of Economics, 2002)
Welfare reform has transformed the U.S. cash assistance program for single parents and their children. Although there remains substantial uncertainty about the importance of reform in producing the subsequent decline in ...
Coyote Crossings: The Role of Smugglers in Illegal Immigration and Border Enforcement
(Department of Economics, 2002)
Illegal immigration and border enforcement in the United States have increased concomitantly for over thirty years. One interpretation is that U.S. border policies have been ineffective. We offer an alternative view, ...
The Precautionary Premium and the Risk-Downside Risk Tradeoff
(Department of Economics, 2002)
This paper shows that the precautionary premium embodies a tradeoff between risk and downside risk. It is the size of a mean-preserving spread for thish the strength of aversion to risk just offsets the strength of aversion ...
New Estimates of Public Employment and Training Program Net Impacts: A Nonexperimental Evaluation of the Workforce Investment Act Program
(Department of Economics, 2009)
This paper presents nonexperimental net impact estimates for the Adult and Dislocated Worker programs under the Workforce Investment Act (WIA), the primary federal job training program in the U.S. The key measure of interest ...
How Do States Formulate Medicaid and SCHIP Policy? Economic and Political Determinants of State Eligibility Levels
(Department of Economics, 2009)
We exploit the existence of substantial variation in state policies toward public health insurance for children between 1990 and 2002 to estimate the economic and political determinants of state eligibility levels. Controlling ...
Excess Sensitivity in Consumption without Liquidity Constraint: Evidence from Monthly Household Panel Data
(Department of Economics, 2007)
The monthly salaries and allowances of Korean government employees are known in advance but vary greatly throughout the year. Using a large Korean monthly panel data set from 1994 to 2003, we examine how nondurable consumption ...
Heterogeneous Information and Investment under Uncertainty
(Department of Economics, 2007)
A sudden change in investment environment shifts objective uncertainty (characterized by parameters that determine the distribution of returns) and at the same time heightens subjective uncertainty (about the data generating ...
Herding and Bank Runs
(Department of Economics, 2007)
Traditional models of bank runs do not allow for herding effects, because in these models withdrawal decisions are assumed to be made simultaneously. I extend the banking model to allow a depositor to choose his withdrawal ...
An Information Theoretic Approach to Flexible Stochastic Frontier Models
(Department of Economics, 2007)
Parametric stochastic frontier models have a long history in applied production economics, but the class of tractible parametric models is relatively small. Consequently, researchers have recently considered non-parametric ...
Real and Virtual Competition
(Department of Economics, 2007)
Although the Internet reduces market frictions by making it easier for consumers to obtain information about prices and product offerings, goods sold by electronic firms are not perfect substitutes for otherwise identical ...
Behavioral Foundations for Conditional Markov Models of Aggregate Data
(Department of Economics, 2007)
Conditional Markov chain models of observed aggregate share-type data have been
used by economic researchers for several years, but the classes of models commonly
used in practice are often criticized as being purely ad ...
Crude Oil and Stock Markets: Stability, Instability, and Bubbles
(Department of Economics, 2008)
We analyze the long-run relationship between the world price of crude oil and international stock markets over 1971:1-2008:3 using a cointegrated vector error correction model with additional regressors. Allowing for ...
Environmental Policy Attitudes: Issues, Geographical Scale, and Political Trust
(Department of Economics, 2008)
Objectives. This article examines environmental policy attitudes, focusing on the differences in preferences across issue type (i.e., pollution, resource preservation) and geographical scale (i.e., local, national, global). ...
Explaining Public Attitudes on State Legislative Professionalism
(Department of Economics, 2008)
Scholars have long argued that state legislative professionalism, or the provision of staff, legislator salary, and session length, has behavioral incentives for legislators and implications for legislative capacity. Scant ...
Exposure Order Effects and Advertising Competition
(Department of Economics, 2008)
This paper applies the theories of exposure order effects, developed in the psychology literature, to an industrial organization model to explore their role in advertising competition. There are two firms and infinitely ...
Joint Estimation of Sequential Labor Force Participation and Fertility Decisions Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Techniques
(Department of Economics, 2004)
In this paper we estimate the causal effect of children on the labor supply of women using panel data on women from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79). We examine the effect of children both prior to ...
An Evaluation of Missouri's A+ Schools' Program
(Department of Economics, 2004)
The A+ Schools Program was initiated to offer financial incentives to students to attend Missouri's public 2-year post-secondary schools. Under the program, the state government provides eligible students with college ...
Noninformative Priors and Frequentist Risks of Bayesian Estimators of Vector-Autoregressive Models
(Department of Economics, 2002)
In this study, we examine posterior properties and frequentist risks of Bayesian estimators based on several non-informative priors in Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models. We prove existence of the posterior distributions ...
Understanding the Roles of Money, or When is the Friedman Rule Optimal, and Why?
(Department of Economics, 2002)
In this paper, we study the optimal steady state monetary policy in overlapping generations (OG) models. In contrast to economies populated by infinitely-lived representative agents (ILRA), the Friedman Rule is frequently ...
Bayesian Estimator of Vector-Autoregressive Model Under the Entropy Loss
(Department of Economics, 2002)
The present study makes two contributions to the Bayesian Vector-Autoregression (VAR) literature. The first contribution is derivation of the Bayesian VAR estimator under the intrinsic entropy loss. The Bayesian estimator, ...